However, it must be mentioned to avoid following the public bets and big drops caused by the fans money on the most popular teams such as FC Barcelona (see the 3rd match on the screenshot above). Al Fateh is the team with the biggest % of their scored goals in the last 15 minutes of the first half. And last, but not least we will analyze some first-half stats related data. Even in the initial process of strategizing, its common to reassess and gather new information that will, in turn, adjust your goals. If you are going to do this, it is a good idea to use a site like, To get an edge over other punters it is well worth using a top trading site like Goal Profits, where you use all the stats and tools on offer as well as learn from pro traders. The outcome that happened 20 times in the last 20 matches (100% success rate) doesnt mean that it will definitely happen next time out. How Often Is a Goal Scored In the First Half? In summary there are lots of ways to approach the first half goals market, but using team-specific stats and looking at teams playing styles can give you an edge over other gamblers. Overnight odds movements (most of them caused by punters backing their selections for the day ahead, tipsters publishing their picks etc.). This is something everyone knows, as you can check it anywhere. On average if a team scores in the first 15 minutes of a game, they have a 63.98% chance of winning, an 18.94% chance of drawing and will lose 17.08% of games. Clearly the later a team scores the opening goal, the more valuable it is. Scenario: Match with good pre match stats for 1st Half Goals and encouraging in-play stats for a goal before the HT Reasoning: The Over 0.5 First Half Goals strategy has become one of the most popular ways of live betting. This is one of the most popular football tips and it ranges between over 0.5 first half goals to over 3.5 first half goals. #GetAPrice Alright, here is an example below from our stats. In bets on the score of the first half, the odds are higher than for the entire match. The first half goal market is a popular live betting option for football fans looking to add excitement to their match viewing experience. There are 4 main types of stats that are used for analysis: One may decide to look at all past matches, analyze home matches of the local team and away games of the visitor team. The odds for there to be over 1.5 goals are generally low - usually between 1.2 and 1.5 before a game starts, but on the plus side a high proportion of games will have two or more goals. To get an edge over other punters it is well worth using a top trading site like Goal Profits, where you use all the stats and tools on offer as well as learn from pro traders. If you do so, simply place a bet on over 0.5 first-half goals and the winner of the first half. Its the very first principle of treating your betting & trading investements more seriously. If you managed to find a game with the ideal first-half goal stats, try to find the best entry point. The best strategy for over 0.5 goals tips is to explore both teams first half goals stats. It's the path you follow in order to achieve your mission, vision, or idea. The idea behind the strategy is that it identifies instances where the chances of a draw (or the game staying 1-1) is much lower than the odds suggest, based on past data from the teams and leagues involved. Its clear that our respondents are well-aware that both goals and strategies are important. We hope you have learned something new that you can utilize in your trades. Please note that we only show results from home games for the home team and away games for the away team. What are the best leagues for lay the draw strategy? Inicio Sports Zcode System Online Business Training Cookie Policy Home Sports The First Half Goal Betting Strategy Sports The First Half Goal Betting Strategy By Sport Picks 12/01/2023 20 Comments 1. Now that we know how the average first-half looks from a statistical point of view, lets check the advanced first-half goal stats. As a first-generation technology leader - what drives me is social impact at scale. You can sort by the average goals at home, away, all and in the Head To Head meetings. The First Half Goal Betting Strategy - Sport Picks Sport Picks Get free sports picks and winning predictions today from our experts. The Short Time Frame. Ideally, you want to enter fairly early, somewhere between the 15th and 20th minutes. HC_1_15 and AC_1_15 stand for goals conceded percentages. 1st March 2019 / cyril Recently I advocated dividing league tables into 4 sections. All competitions statistics are calculated from all past matches including league and cup competitions. Still have questions about Databox? It refreshes every 30 seconds or so and displays the most lively matches in terms of attacks, shots etc. If there are 1,2,3,4+ goals in the first 45 minutes then your bet is a winner, however, if the game is still 0-0 at half-time then you will lose your bet. Betting & trading on the first half goals markets has really boomed over the last few years. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. If a goal is scored in the first half you do not continue entering, that match is a winner and move on. How Time Decay Affects First-Half Over 0.5 Goals Chance? The goals themselves are less likely to change at an early juncture as youll simply use them to gauge the effectiveness of your strategy. Once its in place, you can set goals that align with it. They are also very popular with more advanced traders for their in-play bets & trades. Does your first half goals strategy take that into consideration? If the score is 0-0, the probability of draw increase significantly, of course. Vision is as necessary as strategy and if you dont set up objectives, youll have a hard time tracking the progress of your strategy. Equally, 44% of all goals are scored in the first half, so although they tend to be cagier than second halves, there is still normally a good chance of a first half goal in most games. Below well take a look at those markets, the stats regarding goals in the first half and then the best strategies you can use. That has particularly been the case at Anfield, with the crowd behind them and using a high-press strategy. Lets assume you see a good bet recommended by a popular tipster, who reckons that there will be a goal in the first half in Barcelonas match. Why? Thanks to the expected high starting price, this could be a low or lower risk / high reward trade. How to connect your tools and data to Databox. Would you take it or not? Furthermore, you can click on the APL header (Away Profit/Loss) in order to sort the data by that column. On the other hand, some sides consistently score or concede just one goal, in which case it is probably to better to just back over 0.5 first half goals. It is something that takes into consideration the whole game, but still useful. Similarly, their opponents have also scored 33% of their goals in that time interval. Learn how your business can become a Databox Partner. In case you know it will grow to an acceptable level by the 15th minute, take it early. Whether you follow one of the strategies set out above or follow your own one though, please remember to always gamble responsibly and good luck with your betting on first half goals! 11. Join our international team of Playmakers working to make business analytics easier for everyone. The only red flag here is that Lille conceded only once out of 9 times. An hour before the kick-off (purely driven by the line ups announcement). Support me on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/KieMillett~~~~~Disclaimer: Betting and Trading isn't for everyone and pe. HS_1_15 (Home Scoring in 1-15 min interval) represents % of goals scored in the 1-15 minutes interval by the home team. They dont include friendly matches. Well, things are not quite that clear-cut. Like other strategies where you are expecting a first-half goal, you will wait around 20-25 minutes and if the game is still 0-0 and there is sufficient action, you will enter your trade. As you can see, the average football match where the score is 0-0 at the 20th minute goes over 0.5 by halftime less than 50%. Despite focusing on goals first, Sultan still thinks that both are equally important. This is really important when you enter games with a low total line for full time. Dont forget, the less time elapsed, the better chance you have for a winning bet. In this episode of our football trading strategy section, we will take a look at our first-half goal stats. We want to separate the wheat from the chaff as it were. Over 0.5 First Half Goal Strategy Updated: Aug 29, 2022 Being successful and making long term profit from betting is'nt just about hitting and hoping. You can check out our, Another first half strategy is one that looks specifically for games with early goals and comes from the excellent trading service, So if you are looking for a specific first half strategy with a long track record of success, this one could be well worth checking out. For this strategy, you will need to back Under 0.5 FHG at the start of the match or choose another right moment (when watching a dull game of football). Another approach to the first half goals markets is to monitor how games are progressing in-running before placing your bets. Just our best stuff. Of course, some think of different things when they say strategy and goal. For people who think you have to set the strategy first, goals are simply metrics by which you gauge the effectiveness of your strategy. If Team A tends to score early goals and struggle towards the end of the first half, its better to skip. With this in mind, it means that matches where goals occur very early in the first half might indicate that more goals would be scored later in the match. Now, lets answer a couple of questions. At the end of this article, we want to show you an example. If you are going to do this, it is a good idea to use a site like Goal Profits to assist you. It works well with many different analysis systems and only needs one goal to win the bet. Some sides have a tendency to score multiple goals in the first half, in which case backing over 1.5 goals might be preferable. By necessity, the advice presented seems contradictory. One very important thing is you want to bet on a market with good liquidity. Assume you place 100 bet @ 1.22 and when it wins it returns 22 profit. In this strategy you should wait until after half time and find a match which is 0-0 but features a decent amount of chances by one or both teams and has odds of at least 2.0. Whats even better is that you can combine the features of the Bet The Builder (stats, tips, trends) with the in-play stats and odds to come up with your live systems. Just remember that a goal in the time when you back 0.5 FHG will mean that you lose your whole stake. There are teams with habits of scoring or conceding a goal just before the half time. Its more focused on the short term and involves specific plans, best practices, and objectives. Good thing is if you use the right resources and plan your trade, you have a good chance to succeed on the markets. First half goals predictions allows you to pick whether there will be at least one or more goals scored in the first 45 minutes of a match. Comparing the last with the first 15 minutes, the number of goals is 1.5 times more frequent. The first step is still to set the clearest possible goal you can formulate and then go about developing a concrete strategy to reach it. You let the game start and the over 1.5 first half goals odds to drift a little to around 3 or 4. As the game progresses and there are no signs of goals, the under 0.5 first half goals will start steaming quite quickly. On the other hand, this is the perfect market to bet on first-half goals in-play. C.O. Your email address will not be published. This is because without a strategy in place, it is very difficult to know what the goals should be. If you are going to bet or trade on first half goals, it is important to give yourself the best chance of succeeding. As everyone expects a first-half goal in this match, the starting odds on over 0.5 is way too low. 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