This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. Its attempts to economically coerce Australia into its geopolitical orbit should disturb. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. Drop file here. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). Many are asking what lessons China is drawing from Russia's invasion of Ukraine for its own plans to bring Taiwan to heel. This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. The question that can now be asked and the one that returns to the core of this article, is will this result in an invasion of Australia? The Transformation of China. The Agenda. The End of History and the Last Man. A significant part of the reason the rise of China, and the subsequent actions of the PRC government have become so chilling, and the reason the invasion word was used by Senator Lambie, is twofold. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. The implications for Australia beyond 2025 onwards are not as assured and this will be due to the fact that as China continues to rise the US will continue to decline and therefore, the US will have become a significantly lesser threat. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Here is an article by Chomsky that should open a few eyes. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. For peace to come about either locally or globally, a major reappraisal of Language and all the edifices of modern life are called into question. The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. News By Simon Green Assistant Editor (Digital) 15:20, 15 FEB 2019 Updated 20:17, 15 FEB 2019 Video Loading United Australia Party leader warns of Chinese takeover Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. By Dr Alexey Muraviev | Analysis | 2 September 2021, Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise, noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, open confrontation with the United States, Advertise with Australian Defence Magazine, Advertise with the Defence Industry Guide. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. [10] Angus Madisson. The largest ever Australian warship sunk in battle, HMAS . (including Australia). Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. Blunt threats made in Chinese mainstream media, and more recent remarks by an Australian senator- that the ADF is unlikely to last even a few days in a high-end conflict with China - warrant yet another examination of Australias strategic circumstances and the likelihood of an attack on mainland Australia. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. But the US has strategic energy interests in Australia so perhaps they will not abandon us or sell us out with their own self interests are at stake. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. Whoops that cant be right. Former airforce pilot in CHILLING warning over airstrip AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. This raises again the question of alliance obligation, and the subsequent need by Washington to make it very clear to China that an attack on Australia will trigger an allied response. Another Century of War? Signed sealed and yet to deliver. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. Thanks to geography, any scenario involving an attack on mainland Australia can only be seriously entertained in the context of assessing adversarial power projection capabilities, including strategic lift. Power Disparities and Paradoxical Conflict Outcomes. International Interactions, Philadelphia: Taylor and Francis, 1986,12, 315-342. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. The Battle of Guadalcanal (ie, Solomon Islands) between August 1942 and February 1942 was the first major land offensive undertaken by the Allied forces, including Australia and the US, against Japan, resulting in over 26,000 deaths and the loss of 57 warships and almost 1,300 aircraft. It is at this point that the historical element as well as the dangers for other actors particularly Australia in the A-P region and the invasion scenario to which Lambie alludes can be introduced. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . 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And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. If the Chinese could not bring fuel, spare parts and munitions to these airfields the aircraft would immediately be candidates for the war museum in Canberra.. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. "Our judgement at least is that (China's . The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. I wont go into the importance of our location to those Interests here. Islamic terrorism to be exact!!! [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. Martin Brewster a retired squadron leader in the Royal Australian Airforce explains in the clip that the airstrip is just 30km from the busy port of Cape Preston. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. Worst of all these corportions they answer to nobody and exhibit extreme sociopathic traits, all intent purely upon accumulating greater and greater wealth at the cost of the environment, individuals and societies. Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. [7] See Francis Fukuyama. And we are afraid of China? These are among the powerful predictions the world looks set to face as it comes to grip with new powers, financial slowdowns and emerging economies. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. Peace is said to be Wars opposite and everwhile the arming for war denies peace any opportunity of reality except in the mind of man. And moreover, it has used force in the process of making nations adhere to Western principles. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. Agree with all comments . Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. In fact it seems to misfire all over the place jumps back and forth in history . The Royal Australian Navy ship HMAS Parramatta. It saddens me that our governments are so imbecilic that they cannot see past their current term or the noses on their faces and are selling out future generations. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. The Amnesia Express had a good line in a lyric of a song about defining the difference of Peace to the present state of readiness to war. Just remember how many millions of Chines were murdered by the Japanese and the picture becomes clearer. He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. The question of what type of war the ADF should be prepared to fight represents one of the ongoing points of debate in Canberra and beyond. A sad state of affairs. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos, the US will loosen its grip on global power and the war on IS will end by 2020. Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. The relative ease of attacking mainland Australia comes from the geographical distribution of our major industrial and population centres, which are located within Australias littoral. Although this is an ongoing discussion, more action is possible now. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. Geography still plays a very important part in war. Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. As happened with Britain and the US the middle-classes of China will demand more from their government in particular more fiscal and military status in the world and Australia will be at the forefront of these ructions that both soft power and hard power bring. Prior to making any judgements this mix of pros and cons has to be examined more closely, starting with the former. April 29, 2022 - 5:54AM Australia will probably be at war with China by the end of the decade, a leading foreign policy expert has said. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. Central banks and trading firms that now hold 60% of their reserves in dollar-denominated bonds would have to rebalance by converting dollars to those other currencies. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. The evidence is Americas slow reaction to commenting on and having a greater involvement in the South China Sea tensions in a more immediate manner which is in direct contrast to its role in the Cold War years. And that was when I was a child !! Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . It's a position intended to ensure Australia's voice is heard in US halls of power, policy making and strategic thought. The schemata upon which the West has developed its societal modality is one of a thriving and burgeoning middle-class, and this has been encouraged in other societies by the West in order for the West to meet its own needs, and in doing this the West has had other societies contribute to its progress. According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. Hint, you have to disregard your sordid trainwreck of conceit and bile and adopt a viewpoint removed from spiteful recriminations. There ya go. The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. Jacqui Lambie!! [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. Among them are the following (but not necessarily in this exact order): The ADF is a highly trained and combat experienced battle force, which continuously invests in acquiring advanced military capabilities that enable it to operate across all current and emerging battle domains. There is a comment that I would like to make and that is the article that I have written from my perspective is grounded in what Prof Peter Singer called where the evidence takes me. I would prefer my article to have a different outcome than a limited invasion of Australia, however as far as my research takes me (and there is more to come) it is based on the British and US model of China exerting its power-base through global military preponderance, especially when it has a comprehensive blue-water navy. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. Don't miss a thing! This is where I place Australia with regard to China (providing it stays on its current foreign policy/policies pathway). November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. 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